3 Real Estate Questions Everyone's Asking in the Conejo Valley Right Now
If you've talked real estate at a barbecue, a kids' sports game, or a dinner table lately, you've probably heard some version of these three questions. Here's what the actual local data says, rather than what the national headlines might have you assume.
1. "Are home prices actually dropping?"
It depends on the window you're looking at, and that's exactly why this question causes so much confusion. In Thousand Oaks, the median sold price is down roughly 8.7% compared to 12 months ago — but up 8.6% compared to three years ago. Both numbers are true at the same time; they're just measuring different things.
Short-term, month-to-month numbers bounce around based on which specific homes happened to close in that window — a few high-end sales can swing a median noticeably. The more reliable read is the multi-year trend, and that trend still points up. If you bought more than a couple of years ago, you very likely have real equity, even if last month's headline number looked soft.
2. "Is it still a seller's market?"
Yes — by the numbers, Thousand Oaks currently sits squarely in seller's market territory. Two figures make the case: available inventory is down about 25% compared to a year ago, and homes are closing at 98.6% of list price on average. That's not a market where buyers are dictating terms.
That said, "seller's market" doesn't mean "every listing sells fast at full price." Overpriced homes still sit — some for 100+ days before a price cut — while well-priced ones move in a matter of weeks. The market favors sellers who price accurately from day one, not sellers in general.
3. "Should I wait for rates to drop before I buy or sell?"
Rates are hovering around 6.7% right now, essentially flat compared to a year ago, and most forecasts have them settling in the mid-6% range rather than returning to pandemic-era lows any time soon. Waiting for a specific number that may not arrive means putting real decisions — a growing family, a job change, a downsize — on hold indefinitely.
For many homeowners, the more useful question isn't "will rates drop" but "does the equity I've built change what a move actually costs me." A larger down payment from your current home's appreciation can offset a meaningful chunk of today's rate, which is a calculation worth running with real numbers rather than assumptions.
Got a Question That Came Up at Your Last Gathering?
These three come up constantly, but every situation is different — your specific neighborhood, your specific price point, and your specific timeline all matter more than any citywide average. I'm always happy to talk through what the numbers actually mean for your plans.
Have a real estate question you're not sure about? Let's talk it through.
📞 (805) 551-2137
✉️ Kim@KimBlackwellRealtor.com
Market data reflects Thousand Oaks and Conejo Valley MLS activity as of July/August 2026, sourced via RPR (Realtors Property Resource), a National Association of REALTORS® subsidiary. Mortgage rate data from Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week ending August 6, 2026.












